Pre-registered research
Every test in this section was written down and registered before we looked at the data, and every result is published in full — including the ones that found nothing. Each page shows the rule, the verdict, and what the numbers actually say, with the test window named.
Trading the opening-range breakout
Five test families, 63 pre-registered parameter combinations — not one passed.
Read the full test →
Trading the break of yesterday's value area
Nine years of Nasdaq futures, 1,503 trades, one configuration frozen before the data was seen — not one profitable year.
Read the full test →
Buying the pullback in a trend
Ten years of Nasdaq futures, one frozen configuration — not one year in the black.
Read the full test →
Hypothetical backtest results. Read the full disclaimer at the bottom of this page.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.
Trading futures and other leveraged products involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
Which rule did your account cross?
Account Autopsy, 49 USD